We made it through Election Day Tuesday and we're moving toward Inflation Thursday. If that's not enough market-moving news for you, we'll throw in some #CryptoCrash headlines too.
I won't pretend to know all the details, but it looks like the viability of the whole cryptocurrency system is being seriously questioned right now.
Here's the chart of $BTCUSD
Not bullish.
As for stocks, they may be suffering a little contagion. Or maybe they don't like the election results. Or maybe they're pricing in an undesirable CPI report tomorrow.
Or, or, or........
Starting with the leader, $DIA is still forging the path higher. It’s above, or very near the key moving averages. How it handles this trendline will be an important signal.
“Real" is outperforming "virtual."
Industrials over technology.
The Universe over the Metaverse.
It’s showing up in the DIA leadership. I shared quite a few of these comparison charts over the weekend.
click the image to view the complete thread
SPY started the week well enough but today it lost the 8,21, and 50-day moving averages today. The status is the same as I wrote last Friday — choppiness and indecision.
QQQ continues to be the weakest.
IWM looks like it wants to follow QQQ lower.
The Thursday/Friday low in the indexes is notable but it doesn't seem significant heading into tomorrow's CPI report. We know inflation data will set the mood for the rest of this week, and likely beyond that.
So know the levels, but also know that I'm not counting on them to be any real support. The significant "lines in the sand" are still the yearly lows and Nov 1 high for SPY.
We could see a lot more noise in between before any real direction resumes.
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