Small Caps Come To Life
Monday Market Update February 12, 2024
Just a few important charts for today’s update.
IWM The Small Cap breakout appears to be the real deal as IWM screams higher and beyond the critical $200 level.
It hasn’t been quick or easy, but price has finally crossed the mark, adding depth to the bull market. And it’s done so while large-cap counterparts SPY & QQQ have an off day. Healthy rotation.
That’s the ‘get above’ part. Now we see if it can ‘stay above’ $200. Inflation data in the form of CPI (Tuesday, Feb. 12) and PPI (Friday, Feb. 16) this week could make or break it.
BTCUSD moved past the $50k mark, giving yet another signal that the ‘risk-on’ appetite is alive and hungry.
Both of these things were able to happen without a big supporting move in rates and the Dollar.
TLT is stable, but it's not jumping higher to give relief in interest rates.
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DXY US Dollar futures are also stable, riding along the July low anchored VWAP.
In recent weeks and months, we often needed to see strong, supporting moves in these two areas for stocks to have good action. Now that stocks are moving while US Bonds and the Dollar simply stay stable, maybe we are seeing further evidence of a changing relationship.
The Closing Bell
We have CPI and PPI numbers this week, some Fed speakers, and many more earnings reports.
Keep an eye on those items.
Please go to X for the Weekly Chart thread if you haven’t already. Type Andrew Moss, CMT, or @Andy__Moss into the search bar.
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***This is NOT financial advice. This is NOT a recommendation to buy, sell, or trade any security. The content presented here is intended for educational purposes only.
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February 12, 2024, 4:00 PM
Long: C0314C55, PYPL0301P59, SQ0223C70, TWLO0216C75
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