Tuesday Market Update Summary — November 25, 2025
Markets are rebounding strongly following last week’s sharp sell-off. SPY and QQQ both show significant 3-day rallies, reclaiming key moving averages and anchored VWAPs, though key pivot highs have yet to be fully reclaimed to confirm a new uptrend.
SPY: Above 5-day MA, week-to-date AVWAP, and ATH AVWAP. Needs to break above recent pivot (~675.56) for a higher-high structure to form.
QQQ: Also strong but facing more overhead resistance. Still under ATH AVWAP and needs to clear $614.03.
IWM: Leading bounce, back above $239 pivot and heading toward $246.38.
DIA: Above recent pivot ($469), showing relative strength.
Individual Names:
Apple (AAPL): Breakout above pivot, retesting it this afternoon—healthy price action.
Google (GOOGL): Massive 20% rally in 7 days; due for consolidation or pullback. RSI > 76.
Meta (META): Strong bounce post-earnings. Back over earnings AVWAP but still below key MAs and resistance.
Microsoft (MSFT): Solid 3-day defense of rising 200-day MA. Watching for action around declining 5-day MA.
NVIDIA (NVDA): Rebounding off lows; resistance at multiple AVWAPs and MAs. Needs time to rebuild trend.
Tesla (TSLA): Struggling at $420 pivot level. Modest 10% bounce off lows, but stuck in consolidation.
Bitcoin: Bouncing but choppy. Still under declining 8-day MA. No clear trend setup yet.
Key Takeaway:
The bounce is impressive and broadening, but caution remains. Most major indices and stocks still need to form a sequence of higher highs and higher lows to confirm a trend change. With holiday light volume ahead, the next pullbacks will be crucial in determining whether this bounce has real traction or not.
Wishing everyone a Happy Thanksgiving and a restful holiday weekend.
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