📈This Week in the Markets – June 14, 2025
More charts. More signal. More alpha. Delivered right here.
Every Saturday, I post the Weekly Charts thread on X — a detailed look at market structure, breadth, and price action heading into the new week.
Then I share the link here on Trading Adventures.
That’s worked fine … but let’s take it up a level.
Now I’m delivering the full analysis directly to you — right here in your inbox — complete with charts, context, and insights. No link clicks required.
If you’re here for the signal, this is the place to get it.
Let’s dive in 👇
📊 Major Indices
S&P 500 (SPX)
The index pushed higher early in the week, then faded with headlines from Israel and Iran. But the selling was short-lived, and SPX held above the key 5958 pivot.
Overhead levels haven’t changed. Potential support zones below:
5809 – 40-week moving average
5725–5750 – Bollinger Band centerline (20-week MA) and unfilled gap
~5566 – 10-week MA and pivot high anchored VWAP (AVWAP🟠)
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
As noted in Thursday’s Market Update, QQQ and SPX have been tracking closely — same playbook, same price action.
Potential support:
504 – Fibonacci extension
499 – 40-week MA
490 – 10-week MA
484 – Pivot high AVWAP🟠
Russell 2000 (IWM)
IWM touched its 40-week MA before retreating to the pivot high AVWAP🟠.
It’s been a solid bounce from the May lows, but it’s worth noting:
Bollinger Bands are still pointing lower
Volume is slightly higher on this week’s selling
RSI worth watching — can it stay in the upper half?
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA)
Still stuck in the range.
DIA remains below its 40-week MA after failing again at the ~428 resistance zone.
Potential support:
417 – Pivot high AVWAP🟠
411 – 10-week MA
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)
Still consolidating in the $107K–$109K zone while moving averages catch up.
🎉 By the Way…
There are now over 10,000 of you following along on X!
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If you’re reading this here on Trading-Adventures.com, thank you. You’re getting the most structured and in-depth version of my weekly analysis.
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International & Macro
ACWX – International Equities (ex-US):
First potential reversal in weeks. It closed off the highs and printed a long upper wick. Still near the upper Bollinger Band, but RSI is not yet overbought.
FXI – China Large-Cap ETF:
Tagged the pivot zone and turned lower. Is it a reversal or just a pause for consolidation? Still unclear.
DXY – US Dollar Index Futures:
Switched from Sly Stallone to Tom Petty — from Cliffhanging to Free Falling.
Bonds & Commodities
AGG – Core US Bond ETF:
Caught a bid on the flight-to-safety trade. Briefly reclaimed the 40-week MA and pivot high AVWAP before backing off.
TLT – Long-Term Treasury ETF:
Held support at the 84.89 pivot, then rallied to test the 10-week MA.
GSG – Commodities ETF:
Rallied into the $23.15 pivot on oil strength.
USO – Crude Oil Fund:
+12% on the week, closing into its upper Bollinger Band.
GLD – Gold ETF:
Broke out of its recent consolidation, lifted by the same safety trade that helped bonds.
Market Breadth
Breadth ticked lower, but remains healthy in the short term.
The % of S&P 500 stocks above their 50-day MA remains constructive
The % above their 200-day MA has dipped below 50
Bullish Percent Indexes:
No major changes from last week.
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Relative Strength Ratios
Still in equilibrium. No meaningful shifts in relative leadership:
Growth vs Value – IWF / IWD
US vs International – SPY / ACWX
Discretionary vs Staples – XLY / XLP
So… now what?
The trend remains strong — but are we seeing early signs of waning near-term momentum?
The melt-up continues… until it doesn’t.
Next week’s calendar is light, but we do have an FOMC Day on Wednesday, followed by a market holiday on Thursday for Juneteenth.
As always:
Know your plan
Know your levels
Keep your patience
Manage your risk
And keep reading here at Trading Adventures to learn the markets, follow the setups, and stay ahead of the game.
✍️ ICYMI — Read the latest in the new “How I Traded It” series:
This week’s trade recap breaks down the surgical QQQ short called out by DP of the Inner Circle. A quick hit that delivered — thanks to clean execution and clear planning.
📖 Read the full breakdown here:
How I Traded It: QQQ Short – Feel Meets Framework
On the morning of June 4, 2025, David Prince dropped a line in The Inner Circle:
🙏 Thanks for Reading
Last week's response to this new format of the 📈Weekly Charts📉 was fantastic!
Thank you all for the kind words, excitement, and appreciation. It makes these articles easy to write. So, once again —
If you found it helpful:
Tap the ❤️ below
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Reply and let me know what stood out
Catch you next week,
—Andy
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The Inner Circle
The Inner Circle is a Virtual Trading Floor (VTF) at T3 Live. I’ve been working and trading with this group since 2022. You may have noticed the logo in the watermarks on my charts.
Founded by David Prince and led by him, Rick March, and Kira Turner, the Inner Circle is a community of elite traders, including hedge fund managers, family office heads, corporate executives, financial advisors, and even professional poker players.
Fundamental, Macro, and Technical Analysis all combine to find and discuss the best opportunities in current markets.
The Disclosures
***This is NOT financial advice. This is NOT a recommendation to buy, sell, or trade any security. The content presented here is intended for educational purposes only.