📈Weekly Charts📉 August 16, 2025
From Grind to Glide: Markets Quietly Push Higher
Good morning traders — and welcome to this week’s 📈Weekly Charts📉.
We’re closing out a calm but constructive week.
✅ S&P 500 (SPX) hit a new high
✅ Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) joined in
✅ Dow Jones (DIA) nearly broke out
Risk appetite is steady. Leadership is rotating. And while some corners of the market are digesting, others are accelerating.
Let’s dive in.
🏛 Major Indices
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA)
Flirting with an all-time weekly close. Missed it by half a point.
The more a level is tested, the more likely it breaks.
S&P 500 (SPX)
New high. Steady climb. Still in control.
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
Also logged a new high, but left a potential reversal candle.
Russell 2000 (IWM)
Pushed above the pivot zone but closed just under it. Still, strong participation.
🌍 Global View
All Country World ex-US (ACWX)
New highs. Slight RSI divergence was shrugged off. Bulls in charge.
China Large-Cap ETF (FXI)
Still stuck in resistance. No breakout… yet.
🧳 Bonds
Core U.S. Aggregate Bonds (AGG)
Quiet consolidation near range highs.
20+ Year Treasury Bonds (TLT)
Pulled back below the 10-week MA. Still digesting.
High-Yield Corporate Bonds (HYG)
On the verge of a breakout. Risk appetite confirmed.
$ U.S. Dollar
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) / Dollar Futures (DX1!)
Flat. Going nowhere. No signal.
₿ Crypto Corner
Bitcoin (BTC/USD)
Struggling at ~$119,500 with long-term RSI divergence. Something to watch.
Ethereum (ETH/USD)
Cleared the $4093 pivot and nearly touched all-time highs. A pullback and retest would be healthy.
Litecoin (LTC/USD)
Still trying to break out. Room above if it can.
Solana (SOL/USD)
Stuck.
Ripple (XRP/USD)
Bull flag. Pivot test. RSI has room. Textbook bullish setup.
⚖ Commodities
Broad Commodities Index (GSG)
Flat. On the 40-week MA. RSI in no-man’s-land.
Agriculture ETF (DBA)
Reclaimed MAs. Looks ready to try for a breakout.
Base Metals ETF (DBB)
Still showing promise, but hasn’t accelerated.
Coffee Futures (KC=F)
Big jump back to pivot resistance. RSI and Bollinger mid-band.
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🔍 Relative Strength
Growth vs. Value (IWF/IWD)
Every overbought RSI since ’23 has led to a pause or pullback. Watching closely.
Consumer Discretionary vs. Staples (XLY/XLP)
Discretionary wins again.
High Beta vs. Low Volatility (SPHB/SPLV)
No fear. Risk appetite intact.
For more on Relative Strength, see the Chart School lesson:
Semiconductors ETF (SOXX)
Held the 10-week MA and sits at the 1.618 extension. Semis remain key.
🧮 Breadth & Participation
Percentage of S&P 500 above the 50- and 200-day MAs are rising again.
Bullish percent indexes paused their decline.
Still healthy under the surface.
Understanding the Bullish Percent Index
A timeless signal of internal strength, built on point & figure roots.
Read the full article here.
📅 The Week Ahead
Markets are smooth — maybe too smooth.
"It can't be this good."
"It can't be this simple."
Don't let calm tape cloud your risk discipline.
🔹 Stick to the process
🔹 Wait for clean, low-risk entries
🔹 Manage risk
What’s on deck:
Housing & homebuilder data
Earnings from Palo Alto (PANW), Intuit (INTU), Toll Brothers (TOL), Home Depot (HD), Lowe's (LOW), Target (TGT), Walmart (WMT), Alibaba (BABA)
FOMC minutes + Fed speaker Bostic
One more thing:
Special Announcement:
I’m Speaking at the TSAA-SF Annual Conference
I’m honored to share that I’ll be speaking at the 2025 TSAA-SF Annual Conference on Friday, September 5th, at Golden Gate University in San Francisco.
This annual gathering brings together some of the top minds in technical analysis. I’ll be joining Katie Stockton, Jeff Hirsch, Scott Richter, and Zoë Bollinger.
Attendance is free with TSAA-SF membership and is available both in‑person and via Zoom.
📍 Golden Gate University, San Francisco
🗓 Friday, September 5, 2025
Full details → www.tsaasf.org
🧠 Final Thought
This week’s action was slow and steady — and bullish.
No drama. No fireworks. Just buyers doing their thing.
Don’t fight the tape — but don’t chase it blindly either.
Stay ready. Stay disciplined. Stay sharp.
—Andy
👉 For deeper setups, real-time alerts, and weekly trade plans — check out Epic Trades
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—Andy
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The Disclosures
***This is NOT financial advice. This is NOT a recommendation to buy, sell, or trade any security. The content presented here is intended for educational purposes only.
