Weekly Charts – July 26, 2025
Good Saturday Morning. ☕️
Another strong week for the major indexes.
SPY and QQQ made new highs.
DIA is looking for a breakout.
IWM and Bitcoin stayed boxed in.
Let’s take a look at the 📈Weekly Charts📉 for the signals that matter.
📊 Major Indices
SPY was strong and steady, booking another new high weekly close.
Bands pushing higher
MAs rising in a bullish stack
Volume inline and healthy
RSI ~65, bullish but not stretched
Bull market things. 🐂
QQQ is still singing the same song:
Bands pushing higher
MAs rising in a bullish stack
Volume inline and healthy
RSI ~65, bullish but not stretched
More bull market things. 🐂
IWM moved higher, but without running away, as it runs into a pivot area near 228. A little consolidation there as the 10-week MA gears up to cross the 40-week.
DIA bounced back strongly and looks ready to make new highs soon. 451.55 is the pivot just ahead. Volume was strong, and RSI still has plenty of room.
🌏 Global Stocks
ACWX – The Rest Of The World broke out. 📈
This bull market is global.
FXI – China made another new high on light volume and lower RSI.
🏦 Bonds
High-yield bonds made a new closing high, while aggregate bonds and treasuries remain under pressure—but hanging on.
HYG
AGG
TLT
🪙 Crypto Check:
BTC – still resting near the peak.
ETH – well above the trendline zone and near recent highs at 4093, while RSI grazes overbought status.
LTC – up and into the downtrend zone. Threatening a breakout while trading above the 114.01 pivot and ATH AVWAP.
XRP – has found some resistance at previous highs.
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🛢️ Commodities
As a group – not running away.
GSG
DBB – Resting after last week’s breakout confirmation — but this week’s candle is worth noting.
🕯️ Potential reversal candle formed.
GLD – consolidation on the rising 10-week MA.
⚖️ Relative Strength
Its growth over value, discretionary over staples, and high beta over low volatility.
Risk on.
IWF vs. IWD
XLY vs. XLP
SPHB vs. SPLV
Can’t forget the Equal Weights:
RSP – Equal-weight S&P 500 is close to breaking out.
QQEW – Equal-weight Nasdaq is making new highs again.
Dollar Check – A slight bounce, but no evidence of lasting change yet.
📊 Market Breadth
The % of SPX stocks above the 50- and 200-day moving averages remains healthy and moved higher this week.
Bullish Percent Indexes:
BPSPX avoids the high-level breakdown — still hanging in there.
BPNDX added one O, but quickly reversed higher.
BPNYA still holding strong.
Last week's noted potential for weakness is still worth watching. But for now, breadth remains supportive beneath the surface.
If you’re new to these indicators or want a refresher, I broke down the key concepts earlier this week.
Check out the Chart School breakdown:
Understanding the Bullish Percent Index
A timeless signal of internal strength, built on point & figure roots.
Read the full article here.
🔍 Now What?
We track these weekly charts to stay grounded. To quiet the noise. To stay aligned with the market’s message.
And right now, that message is clear: strength continues—but it’s measured.
Major indexes are trending. Breadth remains healthy. Risk appetite is present. But not everything is breaking out. Some areas are consolidating. Others are stalling. The rotation is real—and it’s a gift for prepared traders.
That’s why we watch. So we don’t chase. So we stay ready.
Not to predict. But to position.
🗓️ Trading Calendar – Week of July 28
It’s a big one for earnings and economic data.
Mega cap tech — MSFT, META, AAPL, AMZN — and lots of econ data — GDP, PCE, FOMC — all in play.
Volatility is possible. Stay tuned and stay nimble.
Thanks, as always, for reading and following along.
These 📈Weekly Charts📉 are here to help you stay clear, consistent, and confident in your trading.
If you found this week’s charts and commentary helpful, consider subscribing to Trading Adventures — or sharing with a friend who’s navigating these markets too.
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See you in the next update.
Andy
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***This is NOT financial advice. This is NOT a recommendation to buy, sell, or trade any security. The content presented here is intended for educational purposes only.