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Market Update 3-19-2026

Below the 200-Day

Trading Adventures is a price-focused market analysis newsletter helping traders understand trend, structure, and key levels across the market.

Each week I break down charts across major indices, sectors, and individual names to provide clear technical context.


Market Update — Show Notes

Theme:

Trend lower. Today confirmed it.


Key Level

  • SPY: Closed below 200-day → trend deterioration


Index Snapshot

  • SPY: Below 200-day, weak bounce

  • QQQ: Lost support, near 200-day

  • DIA: 2 days below 200-day

  • IWM: Last holdout, weakening


Context

  • Below declining 5-day

  • Below AVWAPs

  • Rallies failing

  • No follow-through


Other Markets

  • Bitcoin: Rejected YTD AVWAP

  • Dollar / Bonds: No change


Playbook

  • Go slow

  • Do less

  • Small size

  • Respect risk


Bottom Line

Sellers in control. No reason to force trades.


The Process Behind the Work

  • Price > opinion

  • Trend > prediction

  • Risk first

If you like how I think here, this is where that thinking is applied every day.


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