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Transcript

Markets Drift Lower as Leadership Fades

Patience remains the edge

Show notes:

Summary

  • Major indices continue drifting lower below declining short-term moving averages

  • Nasdaq remains stuck in a wide multi-week range with no breakout

  • Former leaders (DIA and IWM) have rolled over after failed breakouts

  • Small caps briefly reached correction territory (~10% from highs)

  • Global equities and emerging markets losing momentum

  • Bonds gave back recent gains and no longer showing leadership

  • Crude oil experienced an extremely sharp move higher, now consolidating

  • Semiconductors facing resistance from AVWAP and the 50-day moving average

  • Biotech showing relative strength in tight consolidation

  • Software bounce losing momentum near overhead AVWAP resistance

  • Mega-cap stocks consolidating bearishly in an intermediate downtrend

  • Environment characterized by failed moves, volatility, and lack of directional follow-through

  • Current approach: trade smaller, remain patient, and prioritize risk management


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