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SPY Breaks Trendline as Market Strength Broadens

📈Weekly Charts📉 July 12, 2026 - The major indices made modest progress, equal-weight participation remains healthy, and several former leaders are beginning to improve.

Taking the analysis further

If you want to go deeper than the weekly charts — including how the levels translate into actual trade planning and risk management — you can follow the work Brian Shannon and I do at Alphatrends.

That’s where we walk through the same market structure in real time and apply the process to actual trade setups.

Learn More at Alphatrends.net


Summary

  • SPY closed above a six-week trendline and reclaimed its rising short-term weekly moving averages.

  • QQQ rebounded sharply but remains inside a broad eight-week consolidation range.

  • Dow and IWM continue to hold constructive longer-term trends despite some short-term chop.

  • Equal-weight S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 charts remain strong, confirming broader participation beneath the surface.

  • China bounced from oversold conditions, but follow-through is still needed before calling it a trend change.

  • Bonds remain weak, keeping upward pressure on interest rates.

  • Oil is attempting to stabilize but remains below declining weekly moving averages.

  • Gold and silver continue to drift lower with little evidence of a sustained reversal.

  • Semiconductors are consolidating following a significant advance.

  • Biotech remains a leader, though an extended RSI reading and negative divergence suggest managing risk after the strong run.

  • The Mag 7 improved as a group, led by new highs in Apple and constructive rebounds in Meta and NVIDIA.

  • Microsoft and Tesla remain technically weak and need more work before their trends improve.

  • Breadth remains healthy, with no significant warning signs from the percentage of S&P 500 stocks above their 50- and 200-day moving averages.

  • CPI, PPI, Fed speakers, and Treasury auctions may create short-term volatility during the coming week.

Key Takeaway

SPY’s move above its recent trendline is a constructive development. The broader market remains healthy, participation is holding up, and several important growth leaders are beginning to improve—but follow-through will determine whether the latest rebound becomes something more meaningful.


References & Chart Resources

Chart School

https://www.trading-adventures.com/t/chart-school

The Bullish Percent Index – A Technician’s Perspective

Relative Strength – What Is It Really?


Take the analysis further

If you want to go beyond the weekly charts — including how the levels translate into real trade planning and risk management — you can follow the work Brian Shannon and I do at Alphatrends.

That’s where we review the markets in real time and walk through how the same principles are applied to actual trade setups.



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