Trading Adventures is a price-focused market analysis newsletter helping traders understand trend, structure, and key levels across the market.
Each week I break down charts across major indices, sectors, and individual names to provide clear technical context.
Show notes:
Quick take:
A short-term bounce is underway, but the broader structure remains unresolved ahead of the Fed.
Market Update – March 17
Not much has changed since the weekend
Indices have bounced back above a declining 5-day moving average
Short-term structure shows higher highs and higher lows on lower timeframes
Daily charts still show price below key moving averages (8/21-day)
Price is interacting with anchored VWAP levels from recent pivots (August, YTD)
Overall condition remains a potential transition area—not a confirmed trend change
Broader context (from Saturday):
Weakening participation beneath the surface
More cautious tone across markets
Damage that likely requires time to repair
Other notes:
Bitcoin attempting to stabilize but still in a broader downtrend context
No clear resolution yet across major assets
Key takeaway:
Bounce acknowledged, but structure has not fully improved
Short-term improvement is developing, but higher timeframes remain corrective
This remains a “go slow, do less, stay patient” environment
We want to see alignment across timeframes before getting more aggressive
What matters next:
Continued acceptance above the 5-day moving average
Improvement in breadth and participation
Reclaiming higher timeframe moving averages (8/21-day)
Failure back below recent lows would signal continued weakness
Near-term catalyst:
FOMC decision tomorrow → added uncertainty, limited edge
CTA:
If you’re following along with the weekly charts, this is simply an update on that roadmap. I’ll revisit things after the Fed and see whether this transition resolves or fails.
Note on audio quality:
I’ve heard the feedback on the audio and understand the frustration. I’m actively working on improving the setup and appreciate your patience while I get that dialed in.
The Process Behind the Work
Price > opinion
Trend > prediction
Risk first
If you like how I think here, this is where that thinking is applied every day.
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